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Market prices, etc

Discussion and views of prices of oil and gas.  Post your comments.

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Monday 11 February 2008

Peak Oil and the next Bubble

RROYO GRANDE, Calif. (MarketWatch) -- Hollywood tag lines fit Exxon Mobil's $40 billion profit as well as the movies: "There will be Blood. There will be Greed. There will be Vengeance."
Our "war of civilizations" is not of theologies but a primal battle to control basic resources essential to survival. Yes, there is blood ... and oil ... and greed ... and vengeance ... and wars for survival.
www.marketwatch.com/news/story/you-vote-megabubble-next-bring/story.aspx?guid=%7BFC99D4EE%2D3C21%2D45F7%2DBD77%2D9F6513CCC244%7D&siteid=yahoomy

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Sunday 3 February 2008

Natural Gas Prices versus Oil Prices

Historically, oil prices have run at something around 6 to 1 versus natural gas prices, with the correlation reflecting their BTU equivalent.  So if oil prices were $30 then natural gas would be $5.  However in the past year there has been an increasing divergence of oil prices compared to natural gas prices. The current ratio is 11 to 1.  So is oil over priced? Or, is natural gas under priced?


See the graphs at www.oilandgasinvest.com


Wednesday 30 January 2008

Fed may cut interest rates again. But will it help homeowners?

WASHINGTON - The Federal Reserve is likely to follow its bold action last week to battle an economic downturn with further interest rate reductions, although analysts are split on just what size the future cuts will be. That would mean the Fed will cut its federal funds rate, the interest that banks charge each other, by a quarter point at the conclusion of Wednesday's meeting. It would be the fifth rate cut since last September. Last week, the Fed announced a surprise three-quarter-point cut which drove the funds rate down to 3.5 percent. It was the largest reduction in this rate in more than two decades and the first change in the funds rate between meetings since the immediate aftermath of the September 2001 terrorist attacks. [|http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080130/ap_on_bi_ge/fed_interest_rates_28|en]

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Thursday 17 January 2008

'The Oil Factor' by Stephen and Donna Leeb

If you haven't read Stephen and Donna Leeb's book, The Oil Factor, I highly recommend it.  I only wished I would have read it earlier.  Published in 2004, it describes among other things increased commodity/energy prices and inflation as well as the possible impact on various asset classes.  What do you think about The Oil Factor?  Did this book accurately predict where we are today? Where we are heading?  Provide your comments and views.

Wednesday 16 January 2008

Consumers strained by rising prices

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks on Wednesday edged off earlier declines, with badly beaten financial and consumer stocks helping pave the way higher amid easing commodity prices and less-disappointing-than-anticipated results from two large banks.

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Crude drops below $90 per barrel

U.S. stocks turn mixed as Intel outlook disappoints Dow turns positive as commodity prices ease; crude falls below $90 a barrel By Kate Gibson, MarketWatch Last update: 12:29 p.m. EST Jan. 16, 2008 NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks on Wednesday edged off earlier declines, with badly beaten financial and consumer stocks helping pave the way higher amid

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Sunday 13 January 2008

Oil extends decline on U.S. recession fears

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Oil fell on Monday, extending the past three sessions' decline, as the growing threat of a U.S. economic downturn outweighed supply worries in Iran and Nigeria. ADVERTISEMENT U.S. light crude for February delivery fell 23 cents to $92.46 a barrel by 0106 GMT. U.S oil settled down $1.02 at $92.69 a barrel on Friday, dragged down by fears of a potential U.S. economic recession. "There was some bullish news out of Iran and Nigeria that could have pushed up oil prices, but Asian markets are focusing on the health of U.S. economy for now," said Gerard Burg, a resource analyst at National Bank of Australia (NAB) in Melbourne.

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Friday 11 January 2008

Saudi not set to sell more for Feb despite $100 oil

  • Reuters
  • Thursday January 10 2008
By Maryelle Demongeot
SINGAPORE, Jan 10 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia is unlikely to offer extra crude for February to Asian buyers, even after oil hit $100 last week, as most refiners have little need and ability to process additional heavy sour crude, refining sources said.
The kingdom raised term exports to Asia by a tenth for November to full contracted volumes after it convinced other OPEC members to boost daily output by 500,000 barrels from Nov.1, in response to a jump in prices past $80 a barrel for the first time in September.

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Gold tops $900 on rate-cut speculation

Appears to be a flight to commodities.  Could this be from expected inflation and devaluation of the US Dollar if the Fed lowers interest rates?  Provide your views.
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/gold-tops-900-rate-cut-speculation/story.aspx?guid={EDB4C4A5-AECB-4D75-A84C-C040E69826BC}&siteid=yahoomy

Thursday 10 January 2008

Gunmen attack ships near Nigerian oil complex

 

 

http://africa.reuters.com/business/news/usnBAN024622.html

 

 

India car manufacturer introduces a car which will sell for $2,500

Based on the article, this is going to increase the number of cars in India significantly. This car is 50% price of the next cheapest.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080110/ap_on_bi_ge/india_ultracheap_car;_ylt=Av7PKFig94__sP9tzsy_Ce4DW7oF

[|http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080110/ap_on_bi_ge/india_ultracheap_car;_ylt=Av7PKFig94__sP9tzsy_Ce4DW7oF|en]

Toyota's sales in China rise 62% last year

Wow, that's impressive increase in cars. The full link for the article is below. Cut and paste into your web browser.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/toyotas-sales-china-rise-62/story.aspx?guid={71AE0066-FD44-4121-8F33-CBF4400EEA50}&siteid=yahoomy

[|http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/toyotas-sales-china-rise-62/story.aspx?guid={71AE0066-FD44-4121-8F33-CBF4400EEA50}&siteid=yahoomy|en]

Wednesday 9 January 2008

World dependency on OPEC to grow in '08

Interesting article, particularly as OPEC has indicated that it sees no change in production levels.

WASHINGTON, Jan 8 (Reuters) - The world will be even more dependent on OPEC this year for its oil supply as production sags from key non-cartel members Mexico and Norway, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday.

"World oil demand will continue to grow faster than oil supply outside of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in 2008, leaving OPEC and inventories to offset the upward pressure on prices," the EIA said in its monthly outlook. OPEC supplies about a third of global oil demand.

The EIA forecast tight oil supplies in 2008, with U.S. crude oil prices averaging $87.21 a barrel over the year, after prices briefly eclipsed the key $100 a barrel mark last week....

Link to full article here.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idUKN0850109020080108